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Southeast Asia Braces for Job Losses as Textile Quotas

Endby Scott Bobb

Company Online Stock Trading An agreement that for more than 30 years allowed wealthy countries to limit textile imports, particularly from developing nations, expires in 2005.

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made goods were up in February, made goods, which were up 1.6 percent. The record trade gap has focused lawmakers on China's textile exports to the US since production quotas are no longer necessary The Bush administration is attempting to limit textile imports in response to the trade gap issue. Imports of textiles and clothing from China rose 10 percent in February even though the overall trade gap with China fell.

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Stock System Trading Dec 14, 2004 (AXcess News) Bangkok - An agreement that for more than 30 years allowed wealthy countries to limit textile imports, particularly from developing nations, expires in 2005. Free trade advocates hail the end of the national textile quotas as a step toward a free world market. But there are fears that without quotas, large garment exporters in China and India will expand, forcing factories out of business in smaller countries.

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Stock Investing Game Across Southeast Asia, millions of workers spend their days in factory sewing lines like this one, producing clothing for export to Europe and the United States.The workers are mainly women and unskilled rural residents, and they generate billions of dollars in earnings for governments in the region.

Under World Trade Organization rules, on January first all WTO members must abolish the web of quotas that has governed the textile trade for 40 years. Under the new rules, import tariffs are not being outlawed, but countries will no longer be allowed to set specific limits on textile products coming from other countries. This week, China, in an effort to ease relations with poor country competitors as well as with the European Union and the United States, said it would impose new export levies to slow its exports, and prevent disruptions to global markets.

Market Stock Trading But the industry is about to undergo a major shake-up. Rules that allow wealthy nations to place quotas on textile imports from poor countries expire at the start of the new year.An official with the Thailand Garment Manufacturers Association, Suchart Chantaranakaracha, says that means buyers will be able to purchase from just one or two countries, instead of using factories in several nations."In the past, buyers have diversified because of the quota issue. But now since quota is not an issue, the buyers are going to short-list," he said.Advertisement

Online Stock Trading Canada He says buyers will be able to work closely with a few suppliers to produce better quality garments at lower prices. This is expected to favor large companies in China and India. The World Bank estimates that China's share of the world textile market will triple to 45 percent within a few years.

Stock Investing Basics An economics professor at Bangkok's Chulalongkorn University, Somphob Manarangsan, says hardest-hit will be factories producing garments for less expensive markets, such as discount stores. Profits for that market already are extremely thin.

Day Online Stock Trading "For the lower market, I think that they are going to face tougher and fiercer competition and become much more difficult to survive within the existing situation," he added.

Online Stock Trading Game The garment industry is a major source of jobs, export earnings and tax revenue for Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia and Cambodia. In Cambodia and Laos, it provides up to 90 percent of export earnings.The Nike sports brand buys from factories in several countries. The head of Nike in Vietnam, Amanda Tucker, predicts there will be an adjustment after quotas expire, but says her company will continue to diversify its sources.

Stock Investing Software "Countries that have really not invested in their industries may find that they're losing to players such as China that have economies of scale," she noted. "But it doesn't necessarily mean that a brand such as Nike would all of a sudden concentrate everything in one source."

Online Option Stock Trading Vietnam faces a particular challenge. Because it is not a member of the World Trade Organization, its exports will remain restricted by quotas.

India Online Stock Trading Vietnam hopes to join the WTO by the end of next year, but some factory operators worry they may not survive until then.

Stock Investing For Dummy The less developed economies of Cambodia and Laos face other challenges.

Software Stock Trading They must import the cloth needed to make garments. And they have high utility and transportation costs, because of their poor infrastructure. In many countries, official corruption also inflates production costs.Producers know competition will intensify next year and are adopting new strategies to address it. The general manager of a factory in Vietnam, Y.Y. Chen, plans to raise productivity by investing in new equipment, re-training employees and adopting creative management techniques.

Online Stock Trading Review "It depends a lot on how you can plan ahead, or transfer the orders to another subsidiary country," he said.Cambodia is lobbying the U.S. government to suspend import tariffs on its garments to help it survive the transition.

Stock Investing Tip Mr. Suchart at the Thai garment makers association says Thailand's industry will group factories that make cloth and those that make garments together to streamline production.

Comparison Online Stock The Thai government also has introduced a campaign to establish Thai brand names in the high-fashion market."At the end of the day, by improving productivity, by giving better services, and by giving the buyer better goods and novelty items, I believe Thailand can compete with China," he added.

Online Stock Trading Site Nevertheless, the prospect of a major contraction in the industry costing hundreds of thousands of jobs worries union leaders and social workers. They say any economic downturn will hurt the most vulnerable groups in Southeast Asia and fear that a prolonged crisis in the poorest countries could lead to social and political unrest.

Online Stock Investing Source: Voice of America

Canada Online Stock Trading AXcess News will be reporting on any new market trends related to this story. Members should watch their in-box for late breaking news. If you're not a member, consider joining now. Members get the latest business news, commentaries and stock picks delivered right to their in-box.

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